Filling in for Terence
Coalition Votes % Swing %
Liberal/National Coalition 4,004,831 46.29 -5.71
Australian Labor Party 4,646,111 53.71 +5.71
More on twitter!
Filling in for Terence
Coalition Votes % Swing %
Liberal/National Coalition 4,004,831 46.29 -5.71
Australian Labor Party 4,646,111 53.71 +5.71
More on twitter!
Decided to fill in for Terence and here it is……
Kevin Rudd has won the 2007 Australian Election according to Channel Nine. The Current results from the AEC are:
| Coalition | Votes | Percentage % | Swing % |
|---|
| Party | NSW | VIC | QLD | WA | SA | TAS | ACT | NT | Total Divisions Won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This Election | Last Election | |||||||||
| Liberal | 12 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 74 |
| Australian Labor Party | 25 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 60 |
| The Nationals | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| CLP - The Territory Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Independent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| DOUBTFUL | 7 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
| TOTAL | 49 | 37 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 150 | 150 |
| COUNTED % | 70.99 | 69.49 | 53.65 | 11.49 | 75.42 | 79.79 | 71.86 | 31.69 | 61.82 | |
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Liberal/National : 3,059,695 Votes (46.12%)
Labor: 3,575,113 Votes (53.88%)
| Party | NSW | VIC | QLD | WA | SA | TAS | ACT | NT | Total Divisions Won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This Election | Last Election | |||||||||
| Liberal | 12 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 74 |
| Australian Labor Party | 25 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 60 |
| The Nationals | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| CLP - The Territory Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Independent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| DOUBTFUL | 7 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 0 |
| TOTAL | 49 | 37 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 150 | 150 |
| COUNTED % | 63.65 | 62.86 | 27.02 | 0.70 | 65.53 | 79.41 | 69.35 | 14.18 | 50.61 | |
Source : AEC
ABC election analyst Antony Green says Labor is on the cusp of victory and needs only two seats in Queensland to claim victory.
Mr Green says on current figures he predicts Labor winning 78 seats with a majority of six. On those figures he says he can make a cautious prediction of Labor forming a government.
Labor deputy leader Julia Gillard says the party is expecting to win five or six seats in Queensland, which would easily give labor the required number of seats for victory.
The ABC’s election computer is predicting Prime Minister John Howard will lose his seat of Bennelong to Labor’s Maxine McKew.
With almost 17 per cent of the vote counted, Ms McKew has a swing of more than 15 per cent and the computer is predicting a two-party preferred result of 52.2 per cent for the Labor candidate and former ABC journalist.
Barring a turnaround, Mr Howard is facing the prospect of becoming the first Prime Minister since 1929 to lose his seat.
The last was Stanley Bruce who, like Mr Howard, fought an election campaign dominated by industrial relations issues.
However Liberal Senator Nick Minchin says there are still 5,000 postal votes to be counted for Bennelong.
He says the area they will come from is a strong one for the Liberals, and he is hopeful those postal votes will bring a swing back to Mr Howard.
“It’s not looking good, but I would point out that postal votes are going to play an interesting role in this election,” he said.
“There were, on my count, 5,000 postal votes in Bennelong and based on the AEC’s estimates of where they’re coming from, they’re two-to-one in our favour, which on the face of it would give us a 1 per cent gain from postal votes.
“So the Labor Party, in my view, is going to need a swing of more than 5 per cent to believe it can win this.”
Labor need to win a net 16 seats to take government.
So far the ABC’s election computer has given Labor victory in nine seats formerly held by the Coalition. The computer also has Labor in a seat-winning victory in another Coalition-held seat.
In Eden-Monaro former military lawyer Mike Kelly has secured a 6 per cent swing against sitting member and Howard Government junior minister Gary Nairn with almost 35 per cent of the vote counted.
For the past 35 years the party that has won Eden-Monaro has won government.
Mr Kelly says he is very optimistic, but still thinks it is too early to celebrate.
“We’re feeling confident, but you can never be too confident in Eden-Monaro,” he said. “I don’t think you can pay too much attention to early figures in Eden-Monaro. It’s such a diverse electorate with varying booths.
“We’ll just have to track how it comes in over the evening and see where it is later on tonight.”
Counting has begun in Queensland and the Northern Territory but no meaningful figures are yet through.
Polls close in Western Australia at 8:00pm AEDT.
According to the ABC’s election computer, Labor has gained the seats of Bennelong, Braddon, Corangamite, Deakin, Dobell, Eden-Monaro, Lindsay, Page and Parramatta and Wakefield.
SOURCE : ABC ONLINE
|
First Preferences |
||||
| Candidate | Party |
Votes |
% |
Swing (%) |
| BAYLEY, Grant | LDP | 329 | 0.73 | +0.73 |
| EDWARDS, Lesley | The Greens | 1,507 | 3.32 | -0.05 |
| CHIJOFF, Karen | Liberal | 17,280 | 38.10 | -7.50 |
| HARROLD, Lisa | Independent | 512 | 1.13 | +1.13 |
| MULLER, Iris | Family First | 440 | 0.97 | -0.40 |
| GREEN, Andrew | Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) | 1,438 | 3.17 | +0.30 |
| BRADBURY, David | Labor | 23,479 | 51.76 | +11.76 |
| McNALLY, Kerry | Independent | 372 | 0.82 | +0.82 |
| …… | Australian Democrats | 0 | 0.00 | -0.74 |
| …… | Citizens Electoral Council of Australia | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| …… | Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 0 | 0.00 | -1.77 |
| …… | No Goods and Services Tax Party | 0 | 0.00 | -1.32 |
| …… | Save the ADI Site Party | 0 | 0.00 | -2.63 |
| …… | Other | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| FORMAL | 45,357 | 94.49 | +2.41 | |
| INFORMAL | 2,647 | 5.51 | -2.41 | |
| TOTAL | 48,004 | 53.13 | ||
|
Projected Two Candidate Preferred |
|||||
| Candidate | Party |
Votes |
This Election (%) |
Last Election (%) |
Swing (%) |
| CHIJOFF, Karen | Liberal |
- |
43.32 |
52.92 |
-9.60 |
| BRADBURY, David | Labor |
- |
56.68 |
47.08 |
+9.60 |
SOURCE : AEC Virtual Election Tally Room
Prime Minister John Howard could be on track to become the first sitting PM since 1929 to lose his seat, with Labor challenger Maxine McKew ahead by more than 6 per cent after preferences with more than 9 per cent of the vote counted in Bennelong.
Deputy Labor leader Julia Gillard says the signs are good for Ms McKew but it is too early to call the result.
“I’m a very cautious sort and I always thought she was going to take it right down to the wire and I think we’ll see that tonight,” she said.
“It’s obviously a tough thing to do to unseat an incumbent prime minister, but one thing you can say about Maxine, there’s nothing that could’ve been done in that seat that hasn’t been done and been done well.
“And just on the question of people who used to be at the ABC, we have Mike Bailey running in North Sydney, now that requires a 10 per cent swing but we’re showing a 6 per cent swing there with 5 per cent counted.”
But Liberals Senator Nick Minchin is still predicting the swing to Labor in Bennelong will not be enough for Mr Howard to lose the seat to Ms McKew.
“I think we all admit that she’s a very good candidate,” he said. “She also has a very good campaign manager in [her partner] Bob Hogg who just happens to reside with her.
“I know Bob well and he’s a formidable campaigner. So John Howard and the rest of us know that he’s up against it with Maxine.
“I still think we’ll get there but we knew we were in for a fight.”
SOURCE : ABC ONLINE
Results from ABC Online
Liberal - 36.5%
Labor - 43.0%
National - 5.3%
Greens - 7.8%
Family First - 2.2%
Others - 5.2%
According to Seven Network
ALP - 40%
LIB - 34%
NAT - 10%
GRN - 9%
OTH - 7%
DEM - 8%
Liberal - 71,864 Votes (54.64%)
Labor - 58,661 Votes (45.36%)
NSW
2 seats won by Nationals
VIC
2 seats won by Labor
2 seats won by Liberal
TAS
1 seat won by Labor
Liberals - 9,360 Votes (59.30%)
Labor - 6,315 Votes (40.29%)